Two-Stage Tree Diagrams

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Two-Stage Tree Diagrams

A tree diagram organises sequential outcomes; multiply along a path and add disjoint paths. Branch probabilities from each node must sum to 1. A careful solution names the quantities, keeps place value or units visible, and explains why each operation fits.

Worked reasoning

  1. The paths HT and TH each have probability 1/41/4.
  2. Add 1/4+1/4=1/2=0.51/4+1/4=1/2=0.5.

A fair coin is tossed twice. Find the probability of exactly one head.

Which statement best captures the central mathematical idea in Two-Stage Tree Diagrams?

When starting a problem about Two-Stage Tree Diagrams, which move is most reliable?

Which statement is a misconception that must be rejected when working with Two-Stage Tree Diagrams?